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Prediction

All the Right Reasons: The Growth of Robert Scoble

Finally. Something to wake me from my slumber.

Reading about this here and here, I was immediately struck by this question:

Why is Scoble leaving the biggest stage he will ever -- I mean EVER -- have?

People will say money or stock options, and they were probably factors. It may have more to do with his son, which might be the best reason in the world. I sure hope it's about family because Mr. Scoble, you achieved notariety in the tech world with Microsoft the likes of which will not be seen again.

And with that, perhaps I have answered the question. What more could Robert do for Microsoft? It's not like MSFT stock options would hold him there, given that 1999 is so seven years ago. It's not like he hasn't been banging the drum for the company as loudly as any one man can. A life transforming experience like the death of his mother would stir him to his core; it might cause him to think more about tomorrow and less about today.

Here's the thing. It's a personal choice and if it blows up in a month, it will still be the right choice. Life is a twisty thrill.

Miscellaneous Thoughts: 

The End of History; Web 2.0 Markets are Conversations Edition

If you're into pithy word bombs, you know, those "Future Shock" "New World Order" "we're bigger than the Beatles" type things -- the type of three or four word slogan that leads to book and sitcom deals -- then you are going to LOVE this one:

"Implicit in the ecstatic visions of Web 2.0 is the hegemony of the amateur."

HEGEMONY of the AMATEUR. You saw it here second! or third!

Ain't those the bon-est mots you've read since... the "Digital Divide" or "whazzup"? But how could it not be good when the essay -- make no mistake this was no mere blog entry -- by Nicholas Carr starts with:

"From the start, the World Wide Web has been a vessel of quasi-religious longing."

Huh? "From the start..."? I wonder what Tim Berners-Lee would have to say about that?

Technology: 
Miscellaneous Thoughts: 
Media: 

RSS of C (Real Steady Stream of Consciousness)

Hmmm...

Gnomedex -> Boris is there -> Simple List Extensions -> Marc Canter's at Gnomedex too -> Media RSS -> ourmedia.org -> drupal.org -> modularity -> support for Simple List Extensions and Media RSS within what period of time?

I think Drupal will be the first CMS platform to support all of the major extensions to RSS and also become the best web-based multi-media aggregator. It may also become a pretty good OPML tool as well.

Miscellaneous Thoughts: 

Techpodcasts Streaming Link: Live from Gnomedex

Techpodcasts.com member and primo stream guy, Rob Greenlee, is setting up a 3 microphone remote at Gnomedex 5.0. As he is able to collar guests and luminaries he, along with Todd Cochrane and Andy McCaskey, will be providing some interesting content from Bell Harbor. Check this link on June 24 and 25 after 8:00 AM PDT -- the stream will not be continuous. As soon as Rob can do so he will be setting up a schedule of the streams that will be available.

Apparently there is an announcement coming from Microsoft that will concern podcasting. My bet is a "me too" deal for Windows Media along the lines of Apple's iTunes 4.9 announcement of a few weeks ago.

Miscellaneous Thoughts: 

YAUSP (yet another useless seat prediction)

I think I'm big time wrong on my previous prediction of "lowest voter turn-out ever". Judging by the crowds at the advance polls we may have woken up more than the usual senior citizen crowd.

With that in mind I thought I would launch prediction number 2: The Great Seat Outlook.

It's based on a break-out in the Atlantic, a surly Quebec, a dog-fight in Ontario and a landslide in the West.

CPC 155

Libs 84

NDP 18

BQ 51

If Ontario is a seat draw -- I'm figuring 52 CPC to 51 Libs and 5 NDP -- then it's all up to the West. Is this likely? Only if we crack the whip and roust the voting class.

Miscellaneous Thoughts: 
Politics and Economics: 

Prediction: Lowest Voter Turn-out Ever!

The Canadian election campaign has lurched into mind numbing stasis -- and it's only day 5! Good thing I'm not spending over $500.00 to tell you this, lest I be thought of as a nasty corporate dude with too much money and an agenda. (Yes -- that's right -- if I spend any money during a Canadian campaign to spread an idea, and I'm not running as a candidate, I will have my speech "rights" severely curtailed.)

Snore. Let me know if Bourque has any news... The biggest problem with Canadian elections? Sophmoric coverage by Canadian journalist grads. Can we please get a few more interesting writers? How many of the boys on the bus are voting for Paul Minister Prime Martin? "But Brad", you say, "I've looked to the right of your page and noticed a CPC link, thus rendering you a raving lunatic..."

Miscellaneous Thoughts: 
Politics and Economics: 
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